The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings

2026 Season Ratings

 
 
 

Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings.

Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here.

  

                         Rating  HomeAd
1.    Indiana           99.6910  1.6948
2.    Notre Dame        99.5695  0.8581
3.    Ohio St           99.2419  2.7041
4.    Georgia           98.6761  2.1810
5.    Miami Fl          98.6617  0.7077
6.    Alabama           96.0851  6.4756
7.    Utah              94.9583  4.8416
8.    Oregon            91.6523  2.9575
9.    Texas             90.5110  5.1538
10.   Texas Tech        90.4334  2.7225
11.   LSU               88.9246  6.4513
12.   Iowa              88.4586  2.1509
13.   Mississippi       88.0062  2.7092
14.   Tennessee         87.2159  1.2700
15.   UCLA              87.2133 -6.1897
16.   Missouri          85.8185  6.7655
17.   South Carolina    85.7789 -0.7300
18.   BYU               85.5548  4.8288
19.   Texas A&M         84.1589  5.9204
20.   Oklahoma          84.0450  6.3306
21.   Mississippi St    83.6247 -1.0750
22.   Nebraska          83.4950  6.7953
23.   Penn St           83.3579  5.0322
24.   Northwestern      83.2869  4.2754
25.   Wisconsin         83.1598  1.4051
26.   Baylor            82.7419 -2.2010
27.   Houston           82.7110 -0.8884
28.   USC               82.6762  6.4179
29.   Wake Forest       82.4457  0.9186
30.   Arizona           82.1944  4.2608
31.   Auburn            82.0114 -0.3997
32.   Michigan          81.2801  0.8441
33.   Kentucky          80.5517  2.6340
34.   Boise St          80.5416  4.0299
35.   Iowa St           79.8704  6.4098
36.   Florida           79.3684  6.5718
37.   Clemson           78.9620 -2.9110
38.   Pittsburgh        78.7554  1.8101
39.   Louisville        78.6493  9.5612
40.   Vanderbilt        78.5311 -3.7278
41.   Arkansas          78.5298 -4.7288
42.   Kansas St         78.3942  2.1898
43.   Duke              78.3496  1.8912
44.   Kansas            78.3326  4.4523
45.   James Madison     78.0877  6.6825
46.   SMU               77.8840  5.3382
47.   New Mexico        77.6773  1.6201
48.   Florida St        76.9991  6.4681
49.   Illinois          76.8720  0.4143
50.   Washington        76.8450  3.5119
51.   Arizona St        76.0867 -4.5163
52.   Memphis           75.6152  1.7542
53.   TCU               75.4199  4.0712
54.   Purdue            74.7439  0.6936
55.   Virginia          74.4560  2.3071
56.   North Carolina    73.5359  1.8081
57.   Michigan St       73.4022 -1.4210
58.   Georgia Tech      73.1600 -0.2616
59.   North Texas       73.0520  8.0292
60.   Cincinnati        71.8942  5.9781
61.   UNLV              71.6341  0.2532
62.   NDSU              70.8157  6.1234
63.   Virginia Tech     70.8116  5.7992
64.   Oregon St         70.8083  5.7472
65.   C Florida         70.5819  6.1956
66.   Minnesota         70.4913  4.7511
67.   South Florida     70.4792  2.8492
68.   Army              69.8798 -2.9375
69.   Maryland          69.5032 -1.8825
70.   Liberty           69.2535  2.8926
71.   Fresno St         69.0650  3.8330
72.   West Virginia     68.3573  0.9476
73.   East Carolina     68.1753  2.1238
74.   California        67.4096  3.5528
75.   Utah St           67.3680  4.7659
76.   Boston College    67.1756 -0.8148
77.   Tulane            67.1243  4.3323
78.   Oklahoma St       66.9688  5.8440
79.   Troy              66.0250 -2.1058
80.   Rutgers           65.9384 -0.3244
81.   Syracuse          65.8407  0.0933
82.   Colorado          65.7553  6.7971
83.   Washington St     65.6342  3.5897
84.   Georgia St        65.5659  0.2757
85.   NC State          65.5400  6.8553
86.   UTSA              65.0714  9.9375
87.   UL Lafayette      64.7765 -1.5690
88.   Air Force         64.4513  2.3603
89.   W Michigan        64.0986  3.7369
90.   Toledo            64.0804  4.9460
91.   Navy              63.1317 -0.8777
92.   S Alabama         62.8176  0.5584
93.   Louisiana Tech    62.8047  5.5154
94.   Old Dominion      62.6440  3.2175
95.   Ohio              62.5344  4.9693
96.   Connecticut       62.3919  6.6753
97.   Texas St          62.3070  6.8408
98.   Florida Intl      61.1065  3.5874
99.   Florida Atl       60.6933  0.3883
100.  Temple            60.6321  2.2085
101.  Nevada            60.4766  2.8892
102.  Georgia So        60.3000  6.5381
103.  Appalachian St    59.4281  1.5167
104.  Colorado St       59.4084  1.2551
105.  San Jose St       59.3535 -1.0905
106.  Tulsa             59.1026 -1.0705
107.  San Diego St      58.5517  4.7617
108.  Bowling Green     58.1546 -5.1353
109.  Buffalo           58.0363  3.1487
110.  Jacksonville St   57.9105  6.4307
111.  Marshall          57.5332 -0.5986
112.  Kennesaw St       57.5104  2.2997
113.  Stanford          57.1348  4.9341
114.  C Carolina        56.9364 -1.8995
115.  Arkansas St       56.8029  4.2070
116.  Miami Oh          56.6217  4.7674
117.  W Kentucky        55.6246  3.3801
118.  New Mexico St     54.8017  3.5676
119.  C Michigan        54.7706  6.6764
120.  UAB               54.3677  6.1776
121.  Southern Miss     53.8332 -0.6764
122.  E Michigan        53.4460 -2.4792
123.  Rice              53.3437  2.4841
124.  Delaware          53.3150  5.5282
125.  Wyoming           53.2734  9.0681
126.  Hawaii            53.2672  9.4452
127.  N Illinois        53.2173 -4.9412
128.  Missouri St       52.7185  1.6029
129.  Middle Tenn St    50.3731  3.6357
130.  Sam Houston St    50.2129  0.4281
131.  Massachusetts     49.6524 -2.6427
132.  Charlotte         47.8804 -6.8101
133.  Akron             47.3011  0.0783
134.  Ball St           45.2596  5.2736
135.  UL Monroe         44.7705  4.4215
136.  Texas-El Paso     44.3824  0.4667
137.  Kent St           44.0760  6.3272
138.  Sacramento St     34.9005  1.1862


Ratings include games through 10/10/2026.



Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here.

Email:mailto:edwardkambour@sbcglobal.net

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