The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2024 Season Ratings |
Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd 1. Ohio St 99.7053 3.9792 2. Texas 97.8716 2.6381 3. Georgia 97.4310 1.6505 4. Oregon 97.3872 2.8532 5. Alabama 96.2035 4.8574 6. Penn St 94.3459 1.3554 7. Mississippi 94.1749 1.3310 8. Notre Dame 93.3735 2.3073 9. Tennessee 91.5036 2.8205 10. LSU 89.4415 5.3472 11. Miami Fl 89.0803 2.2920 12. South Carolina 87.4089 1.3725 13. Indiana 86.5974 2.8932 14. Iowa St 85.7900 4.1039 15. USC 85.4750 3.6416 16. Texas A&M 84.9844 4.2038 17. Clemson 84.8024 -0.3229 18. Michigan 84.4870 0.5813 19. Kansas St 84.4153 4.1854 20. Iowa 84.2594 3.1306 21. SMU 83.6099 3.4918 22. Boise St 81.9934 3.1623 23. BYU 81.7557 3.2876 24. Louisville 81.5689 6.2402 25. Washington 81.1392 3.4165 26. Florida 80.8488 3.4057 27. Oklahoma 80.6788 4.4472 28. Wisconsin 80.5860 0.1368 29. Tulane 78.8828 2.3435 30. UNLV 78.8052 -1.0903 31. Minnesota 78.7784 3.5714 32. C Florida 78.2456 2.6014 33. Colorado 78.1878 3.4579 34. California 78.0101 4.2381 35. Washington St 77.9097 0.8869 36. Missouri 77.8968 4.9022 37. Kentucky 77.8650 3.4228 38. Arkansas 77.7202 -1.6395 39. Virginia Tech 77.6420 3.6761 40. North Carolina 77.5270 2.8480 41. Kansas 77.5193 2.7097 42. Cincinnati 77.3295 3.8651 43. Texas Tech 76.8986 2.6462 44. James Madison 76.6482 5.6002 45. Auburn 76.5139 1.5195 46. Illinois 76.4459 0.3886 47. West Virginia 76.3551 2.0935 48. Vanderbilt 76.0160 0.0199 49. TCU 75.8980 3.8389 50. Duke 75.6977 2.5814 51. Baylor 75.6867 1.1666 52. Maryland 75.6452 1.7692 53. Georgia Tech 75.4709 0.6042 54. Arizona St 75.3890 1.5473 55. Pittsburgh 75.0956 2.6520 56. UCLA 75.0945 -0.2946 57. Nebraska 74.8340 2.8096 58. Utah 73.9928 3.5703 59. Army 73.6045 1.5883 60. Florida St 71.9690 2.8644 61. Oklahoma St 71.5314 2.5786 62. S Alabama 71.3404 1.5087 63. Oregon St 71.2440 3.9575 64. Rutgers 70.7118 1.9320 65. Memphis 70.2376 4.1061 66. Syracuse 70.1262 2.8471 67. Northwestern 69.9872 3.0947 68. Boston College 69.9287 1.2340 69. Michigan St 69.5401 1.5004 70. Texas St 68.9097 2.7979 71. NC State 68.7416 4.6882 72. Navy 68.6905 2.1799 73. Houston 68.5648 2.1594 74. UL Lafayette 68.5091 1.6671 75. Arizona 68.4738 3.3743 76. Virginia 68.2517 0.7724 77. Mississippi St 68.2508 1.4226 78. Fresno St 67.6336 4.3933 79. W Kentucky 67.2698 0.7391 80. Bowling Green 66.5764 -0.4062 81. San Jose St 65.9445 1.9617 82. Old Dominion 65.8884 1.5923 83. Miami Oh 65.8542 4.1940 84. Marshall 65.7786 2.0664 85. Wake Forest 65.6535 1.0867 86. Jacksonville St 65.3047 5.1542 87. Toledo 65.0207 2.0700 88. North Texas 64.9840 3.8998 89. Troy 64.5686 0.8357 90. N Illinois 63.9858 0.4945 91. C Carolina 63.7951 -0.2470 92. Liberty 63.5526 1.3042 93. Georgia So 63.5357 8.4298 94. Ohio 62.9508 3.6507 95. Sam Houston St 62.6799 -0.7661 96. Appalachian St 61.7412 2.7664 97. Colorado St 61.4772 2.5791 98. Georgia St 61.3659 -3.8182 99. Purdue 60.8200 -0.2246 100. Connecticut 60.0979 5.1274 101. UTSA 59.8059 1.9219 102. Stanford 59.7725 1.3100 103. South Florida 59.7676 2.9354 104. San Diego St 58.3677 1.6418 105. Rice 58.1739 1.7508 106. East Carolina 58.0222 3.7990 107. UL Monroe 57.9180 2.8956 108. Wyoming 57.2163 2.3023 109. W Michigan 56.9604 0.8603 110. Arkansas St 56.8265 3.5155 111. Nevada 56.7144 3.2992 112. Charlotte 56.5814 -1.8733 113. Hawaii 56.0835 4.1535 114. E Michigan 55.8933 -0.0915 115. Utah St 55.7809 0.6355 116. Florida Atl 54.4672 1.9697 117. New Mexico 53.9488 2.3171 118. Air Force 53.9143 4.4489 119. Louisiana Tech 53.7214 2.3296 120. Florida Intl 53.4912 3.5656 121. Buffalo 52.9338 5.5293 122. UAB 52.7719 3.0968 123. Ball St 49.8230 2.0434 124. Middle Tenn St 49.8044 5.6030 125. Akron 49.3229 0.4609 126. C Michigan 49.1806 2.4874 127. Texas-El Paso 49.1548 1.4682 128. Tulsa 48.6186 -2.4445 129. Southern Miss 48.4374 0.7117 130. Temple 48.2775 4.0396 131. New Mexico St 47.1878 2.5841 132. Kennesaw St 46.1396 1.3257 133. Massachusetts 45.5577 -0.2466 134. Kent St 39.3500 3.4049 Ratings include games through 11/2/2024. |
Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |