The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings

2017 Season Ratings

 
 
 

Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings.

Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here.

  

                         Rating  HomeAd
     Alabama           105.2876  2.3030
     Clemson            98.7172 -2.0746
     Ohio St            97.5241  3.3768
     Michigan           94.2860  4.7017
     Washington         93.9440  1.6587
     Oklahoma           90.8051  1.2656
     LSU                89.9096  2.8957
     Wisconsin          87.2859  1.8710
     Auburn             87.1567  3.5193
     USC                86.0288  5.4261
     Florida St         85.3654  6.5323
     Louisville         84.9134  5.3082
     Stanford           84.8631  0.3475
     Florida            84.0119  0.5299
     Virginia Tech      83.7239  4.9159
     Washington St      83.6881  4.9428
     Oklahoma St        83.5058 -0.6835
     Texas A&M          83.4435  0.1345
     Miami Fl           83.4062  2.3319
     Penn St            81.8763  6.1132
     Kansas St          81.4382  0.4527
     West Virginia      81.3732  2.9465
     Tennessee          80.8550  2.5804
     Utah               80.8311  0.0464
     North Carolina     80.6332  1.8448
     W Kentucky         80.4036  1.7882
     Mississippi        79.8310  3.6699
     Colorado           79.8001  5.6489
     W Michigan         79.4679  1.0552
     TCU                79.3220  0.6815
     Pittsburgh         79.1295  2.0521
     Baylor             79.0072  2.8142
     Iowa               78.9773  4.1187
     Houston            78.4565  2.5590
     Notre Dame         78.2205  3.3667
     Northwestern       77.9689  1.2584
     Georgia            77.5993  2.7861
     Arkansas           77.4308  1.4822
     Boise St           77.3879 -0.0393
     BYU                77.3832  4.1915
     NC State           77.2092  0.3841
     UCLA               77.1968 -1.4745
     Oregon             76.9205 -1.9733
     Mississippi St     76.7133  0.6344
     Georgia Tech       76.6286  4.4973
     Memphis            76.2792  5.5991
     Temple             75.9839  3.7971
     Minnesota          75.7923  1.8662
     San Diego St       75.6465  3.2353
     Appalachian St     75.3862 -4.0376
     South Florida      75.3252  3.1323
     Nebraska           74.6880  4.3728
     Tulsa              74.5146 -2.2026
     Michigan St        74.4608  3.8345
     Texas              74.3518  1.6561
     Toledo             73.8861  1.1628
     Navy               72.7526  3.6446
     California         72.4854  6.1752
     Texas Tech         71.5092  3.6027
     Vanderbilt         70.9032  4.0480
     Duke               70.6481 -0.3624
     Indiana            70.0561  2.0736
     Louisiana Tech     69.9993  6.3400
     South Carolina     69.1928  0.9449
     Arizona St         68.9064  6.6965
     Missouri           68.6333  1.3916
     Kentucky           68.4966  5.3416
     Air Force          67.5672  6.9606
     Wake Forest        67.5271  3.6658
     Boston College     67.0127 -0.4065
     Troy               66.9736  0.9106
     Oregon St          66.8775  3.7765
     C Florida          66.5202 -0.0565
     Colorado St        66.4627  4.4294
     Maryland           65.8856  3.0115
     Iowa St            65.8673 10.7677
     Arkansas St        65.6017  4.7651
     Virginia           64.9074  3.9299
     Georgia So         64.1499 -0.5347
     Syracuse           63.8775  1.1977
     Wyoming            63.8684  2.1727
     N Illinois         63.7972  4.0342
     Arizona            63.4739  5.0859
     Ohio               63.2496  1.3888
     Southern Miss      62.9567 -0.2239
     Army               62.6695 -2.9688
     New Mexico         61.2905  2.7631
     Utah St            61.2531  1.9427
     East Carolina      60.7516  2.7677
     UTSA               60.4703 -0.6816
     Middle Tenn St     60.1783  5.3645
     Illinois           60.0928  3.0310
     UAB                59.8011  6.0019
     Purdue             59.7031 -2.1168
     SMU                59.5580 -0.3839
     Cincinnati         59.3388  4.2670
     Old Dominion       59.2060  4.6076
     UL Lafayette       59.0519 -3.4305
     Miami Oh           58.1681  3.2664
     C Michigan         57.9735  4.1623
     Nevada             57.6736  1.3413
     Idaho              57.2136  3.7877
     Ball St            56.8570 -2.2754
     Bowling Green      56.8200  3.0813
     Tulane             56.5343  1.1342
     S Alabama          56.4701  1.7015
     Georgia St         56.3953 -5.0891
     Akron              55.5911  2.7143
     E Michigan         55.5419  0.5404
     Kent St            54.3234  1.0931
     UNLV               54.0790 -1.3735
     San Jose St        53.9003  3.6485
     Rutgers            53.7430  1.4783
     Hawaii             53.5317  3.7047
     Massachusetts      53.1578  0.6313
     Connecticut        53.0895  4.1663
     Marshall           52.9088  4.3049
     Kansas             51.3013  7.0638
     Florida Intl       50.8437  1.4077
     Fresno St          49.0950  4.9270
     Florida Atl        49.0380  1.2158
     North Texas        49.0219  5.9488
     Rice               48.9358  1.6771
     Charlotte          47.9427 -2.5500
     UL Monroe          47.5140 -1.5775
     New Mexico St      46.6168  6.3030
     Texas-El Paso      45.7134  2.6720
     Buffalo            43.8213  9.8643
     Texas St           40.0802 -1.8861


Pre-season ratings.



Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here.

Email:mailto:edwardkambour@sbcglobal.net

Check out the NFL page

Back to Ed and Theresa's Homepage