The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings

2017 Season Ratings

 
 
 

Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings.

Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here.

  

                          Rating  HomeAd
1.    Alabama           101.5318  3.1138
2.    Clemson            99.9022 -2.0713
3.    Ohio St            97.2140  2.9785
4.    Georgia            94.2231  1.9804
5.    Penn St            93.6039  5.7734
6.    Oklahoma           93.2255  0.5998
7.    Wisconsin          93.1106  1.8022
8.    Washington         91.7597  4.4133
9.    Auburn             90.2414  6.5998
10.   Oklahoma St        88.3909 -0.5956
11.   TCU                86.9089  1.8459
12.   Virginia Tech      86.0875  6.3726
13.   Notre Dame         85.8140  5.5692
14.   Michigan           85.2607  3.0101
15.   LSU                85.0836  2.8484
16.   USC                84.5737  3.7099
17.   Stanford           84.3576  4.1673
18.   Miami Fl           83.6729  5.2280
19.   Louisville         82.8630  5.2753
20.   Iowa               82.3829  4.1107
21.   Mississippi St     81.6582  3.5496
22.   Texas              81.5881 -1.2854
23.   C Florida          81.0499  1.6547
24.   Northwestern       80.6826  3.2623
25.   Texas A&M          80.4590  1.6303
26.   NC State           80.3795  1.7572
27.   Utah               79.5705 -0.2022
28.   Washington St      79.2301  7.2256
29.   Florida St         78.7033  4.6837
30.   Boston College     77.9920 -1.2255
31.   Boise St           77.9336 -1.4735
32.   West Virginia      77.8245  3.1643
33.   Iowa St            77.7731  8.4056
34.   Wake Forest        77.6680  3.7523
35.   Michigan St        77.5278  4.2759
36.   Kansas St          77.4007  1.3976
37.   Memphis            76.7505  5.3226
38.   South Carolina     76.4104 -2.3226
39.   Georgia Tech       76.1799  6.6476
40.   Oregon             76.0834  3.1367
41.   Purdue             75.7808 -1.8304
42.   San Diego St       75.7262 -0.2977
43.   Pittsburgh         75.7028  0.9769
44.   South Florida      75.5697  4.6979
45.   Texas Tech         74.9164  0.4128
46.   UCLA               74.5506  1.6619
47.   Missouri           74.4449  0.8497
48.   Duke               74.2690  1.8644
49.   Houston            73.0951  3.4526
50.   Toledo             73.0905  2.7104
51.   Indiana            72.9008  4.0021
52.   Mississippi        72.8178  3.2794
53.   Florida            72.6287  3.2815
54.   Arizona St         72.5763  4.2246
55.   California         72.0111  7.7651
56.   Navy               71.8275  0.2677
57.   Arkansas           71.4707 -1.4809
58.   Arizona            71.4200  5.7738
59.   Minnesota          70.7216  2.7728
60.   Colorado           70.4730  5.0174
61.   W Michigan         69.9611  2.0053
62.   North Carolina     69.5828  1.6688
63.   Nebraska           69.3423  1.1259
64.   Virginia           69.2930  1.4417
65.   Syracuse           69.0783  1.0385
66.   Troy               68.6578 -0.8405
67.   Baylor             68.2716  1.8225
68.   Appalachian St     68.1032  2.2574
69.   Kentucky           67.8596  4.0165
70.   Army               67.8474 -3.6129
71.   Tennessee          67.8156  0.1955
72.   Temple             67.8081  1.6148
73.   N Illinois         67.5445  4.6037
74.   Colorado St        67.0038  2.8728
75.   Vanderbilt         66.5546  0.0991
76.   Florida Atl        66.5438  0.8741
77.   Fresno St          66.5056  5.0693
78.   SMU                65.5674  1.5553
79.   Arkansas St        65.0744  5.0385
80.   Ohio               64.9665  5.3736
81.   Maryland           64.7179 -0.8070
82.   Tulsa              64.5880 -1.3441
83.   Utah St            64.3398  1.7670
84.   Wyoming            63.7587  2.3208
85.   C Michigan         62.3814  1.6121
86.   Southern Miss      61.8802 -1.6438
87.   Air Force          61.8507  4.4126
88.   Marshall           61.8019  2.9579
89.   Louisiana Tech     61.7393  2.3785
90.   BYU                61.5870  3.6340
91.   E Michigan         61.4018  1.5044
92.   Tulane             61.1855  4.2915
93.   UNLV               60.9600 -4.1319
94.   UTSA               59.5667 -0.8137
95.   Nevada             59.3841  3.6108
96.   W Kentucky         59.1208  3.5998
97.   Massachusetts      58.8157  0.5348
98.   Miami Oh           57.8914  1.8023
99.   Illinois           57.5221  1.6395
100.  Rutgers            57.0251  2.1974
101.  Middle Tenn St     56.8177  4.8855
102.  Oregon St          56.6341  4.4767
103.  Akron              55.7282  2.8644
104.  Cincinnati         55.6693  2.5069
105.  Georgia So         54.8335  3.1812
106.  Georgia St         54.6016 -7.0359
107.  North Texas        54.5274  6.6714
108.  UAB                54.4697  7.0095
109.  Idaho              54.4309  2.1443
110.  UL Monroe          53.9437 -1.5833
111.  Bowling Green      53.9178  0.0400
112.  Buffalo            53.7616 10.1624
113.  Connecticut        53.5176  2.4066
114.  Florida Intl       53.4938  5.0995
115.  East Carolina      53.2192  4.5548
116.  New Mexico St      52.7555  5.5606
117.  New Mexico         52.2873  5.0630
118.  UL Lafayette       51.8610 -1.4669
119.  Old Dominion       50.8597  1.6420
120.  S Alabama          50.7063  3.1733
121.  Hawaii             48.6554  3.4646
122.  Kansas             48.1450  5.1605
123.  Kent St            44.6498  0.7806
124.  Rice               42.5688  0.4105
125.  Ball St            42.2264 -1.7267
126.  Charlotte          41.7494 -0.5346
127.  San Jose St        40.3834  4.5321
128.  Texas St           38.6417  1.7841
129.  Texas-El Paso      37.9766  2.8171


Ratings include games through 12/2/2017.



Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here.

Email:mailto:edwardkambour@sbcglobal.net

Check out the NFL page

Back to Ed and Theresa's Homepage