The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2008 Final Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. Click for coverage of Mack Brown's latest press conference. |
Rating HomeAd
USC 107.7904 3.5212
Florida 106.2767 7.2351
Texas 101.6670 -0.3232
Oklahoma 101.5515 7.6820
Penn St 95.9784 7.2496
Ohio St 94.2386 -1.1544
Alabama 92.7004 -1.1756
Utah 91.5507 2.5072
Oregon 91.0918 0.7768
TCU 90.0163 9.5049
Texas Tech 89.0688 7.7698
Boise St 88.9767 7.6279
Georgia 88.6113 -0.6048
California 88.4921 4.3607
LSU 87.9747 -4.8561
Missouri 87.9707 9.5709
Mississippi 87.7051 3.2100
Arizona 86.9884 4.8320
Oregon St 86.7179 6.6805
Iowa 86.5608 3.7789
Florida St 85.9751 -0.3617
Oklahoma St 85.1699 8.6303
Pittsburgh 83.2566 -1.1244
Virginia Tech 82.3587 -0.1373
Nebraska 82.2095 1.8934
BYU 82.1837 7.6311
Kansas 82.1434 4.1754
West Virginia 82.0851 1.1256
Navy 81.8683 -6.8569
Rutgers 81.6066 -0.0311
North Carolina 81.1879 4.0565
Clemson 80.8978 5.3313
Boston College 80.5920 3.3293
Michigan St 80.4815 2.4328
Wake Forest 80.2734 0.9838
South Carolina 80.2562 4.4362
Georgia Tech 79.6646 5.1478
Miami Fl 78.5885 1.6215
Arizona St 78.2484 4.6806
Illinois 78.0365 1.3952
Cincinnati 77.9448 8.0250
Tulsa 77.7091 10.0390
Vanderbilt 77.7072 0.3885
South Florida 77.6982 4.4075
Tennessee 77.5740 2.2734
Connecticut 77.2798 2.7697
Auburn 76.6177 3.6506
Notre Dame 76.4532 1.6944
Stanford 76.2660 7.4369
Kentucky 75.9448 2.1520
Northwestern 75.6669 1.7649
NC State 75.2136 -0.7600
Air Force 75.1779 4.3065
Houston 74.3836 5.9376
Ball St 74.3458 8.1741
Baylor 74.0564 1.9638
Maryland 74.0210 5.3163
Wisconsin 74.0050 7.4284
Southern Miss 73.0575 4.1602
Purdue 73.0340 5.4075
Arkansas 72.9785 4.4333
Michigan 72.8780 -1.4129
Troy St 72.7030 7.0974
Minnesota 72.5857 -1.7496
Bowling Green 72.5513 -4.3861
East Carolina 71.4948 6.8944
Rice 70.9159 6.2227
Duke 70.5896 -0.4929
Nevada 70.2494 5.4474
Colorado 70.0596 3.7962
Kansas St 69.8615 3.7115
Virginia 69.4797 9.4778
Buffalo 69.3175 2.2828
New Mexico 69.0610 8.0856
UCLA 68.4775 5.3226
Fresno St 68.0812 -0.6490
W Michigan 67.3090 3.1220
Colorado St 67.1723 7.1176
N Illinois 66.9495 4.2441
Texas A&M 66.8968 3.7065
UNLV 66.5244 0.5983
Temple 65.1208 3.3976
Louisville 64.9151 4.2241
Memphis 64.6688 2.6947
Texas-El Paso 64.5718 5.9137
C Michigan 64.2442 7.9335
Mississippi St 64.0343 6.2960
Hawaii 63.7724 6.2686
Iowa St 63.4038 2.5948
Akron 63.1125 4.3226
Louisiana Tech 62.5518 6.4968
C Florida 62.4751 2.2948
Ohio 61.2009 2.8275
UL Lafayette 61.0846 5.0560
San Jose St 60.9259 6.1659
Florida Atl 60.8489 3.0003
Middle Tenn St 60.6182 5.5418
Marshall 60.6077 7.4189
Washington 60.4317 0.8124
Army 60.0789 -1.8185
Syracuse 59.9285 5.3924
Kent 59.9131 -2.8240
Arkansas St 59.8786 8.4946
Utah St 59.7153 4.9857
Florida Intl 58.7336 5.9683
UAB 58.0836 2.7198
UL Monroe 56.9626 1.6654
Toledo 56.6405 4.7596
Wyoming 56.2165 4.9512
Indiana 55.5740 6.3829
Miami Oh 55.3984 -2.2228
E Michigan 54.7983 -1.0541
San Diego St 54.5335 4.8588
SMU 52.8497 6.6028
Tulane 52.2317 3.2179
New Mexico St 51.0458 3.0105
Washington St 50.3899 -0.6658
W Kentucky 50.1911 1.2110
Idaho 43.4998 4.3617
North Texas 40.2942 4.3199
Ratings include games of 1/8/09.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |