The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2011 Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
LSU 104.7221 1.9819
Alabama 101.1665 1.6432
Stanford 98.2615 1.1794
Oregon 97.5283 1.9420
Boise St 95.8235 0.7288
Oklahoma St 95.4123 2.2996
Oklahoma 91.7101 3.5888
Wisconsin 90.0124 5.7622
USC 89.4787 1.2772
Florida St 86.8882 2.0539
Arkansas 86.6846 4.5402
Michigan 85.9812 4.7883
South Carolina 85.4405 5.2266
Nebraska 84.5160 1.9589
TCU 84.5151 3.3264
Houston 84.1363 3.1058
Michigan St 83.5868 5.6237
Florida 83.2401 2.0312
Notre Dame 83.1021 2.5781
Missouri 83.0951 2.7745
Texas A&M 82.7383 4.6122
Georgia 82.3525 4.6611
Texas 81.4915 3.0067
Arizona St 81.3094 4.9830
Virginia Tech 81.2340 1.8945
Kansas St 80.6147 2.7777
Utah 79.9951 1.2270
Miami Fl 79.8679 2.1477
Clemson 79.2753 3.8627
Ohio St 78.4336 3.2172
West Virginia 78.3223 4.1162
Mississippi St 78.2939 3.7539
Iowa 77.5653 4.2210
Cincinnati 77.0416 3.1483
Vanderbilt 76.6278 2.3130
California 76.2297 5.3254
Pittsburgh 76.2166 2.5181
North Carolina 76.0390 2.9659
Penn St 75.9834 2.3364
Auburn 75.0711 3.5130
Arizona 74.9013 3.5644
Washington 74.6654 3.8945
Tulsa 74.6526 1.7293
Temple 74.4935 1.4875
Rutgers 74.3330 2.4379
BYU 74.2939 1.5419
Baylor 74.2217 5.4434
Georgia Tech 73.8532 2.5117
Louisiana Tech 73.8512 3.3702
Southern Miss 73.2736 3.0659
Toledo 73.2010 1.7278
South Florida 72.9895 1.8538
Louisville 72.6172 1.7160
Tennessee 72.5573 3.9881
Northwestern 72.0100 2.2565
NC State 71.8387 4.8463
Oregon St 71.8380 3.8366
Nevada 71.8105 5.1602
San Diego St 71.4743 3.6638
Air Force 71.2568 0.8991
Illinois 71.2147 3.8076
Navy 70.8461 0.1296
Texas Tech 70.2384 0.7765
Iowa St 70.0475 3.5000
UCLA 69.5355 4.6014
Boston College 69.2228 1.9824
Arkansas St 69.0823 5.1881
Wake Forest 68.1612 3.2723
Kentucky 68.1508 2.6863
C Florida 68.1412 4.7006
Connecticut 68.0216 3.7385
N Illinois 67.9488 5.2384
Virginia 67.8333 0.6276
W Michigan 67.1068 3.7287
Syracuse 66.7150 3.2343
Washington St 66.4472 3.6022
SMU 66.0081 3.4252
UL Lafayette 65.0432 1.1726
Purdue 64.9479 3.0707
Minnesota 64.6620 2.8845
Fresno St 64.4852 1.1038
Ohio 64.2934 4.2298
Duke 64.2715 2.1734
Florida Intl 64.1575 3.4411
East Carolina 63.6853 3.4015
Hawaii 63.4753 3.1074
W Kentucky 62.8211 2.5366
Colorado 62.8026 6.4404
Maryland 62.7851 3.5303
Utah St 62.4009 3.2377
Mississippi 61.9368 2.7672
Miami Oh 61.5531 2.7577
UL Monroe 61.4900 3.3791
Texas-El Paso 59.9889 4.1095
Army 59.8947 5.1386
Wyoming 59.6412 4.1202
San Jose St 59.4370 2.5403
Bowling Green 58.0800 1.0542
Marshall 57.8529 5.4833
Rice 57.3742 3.5592
Indiana 57.0840 3.9368
North Texas 56.3431 5.0200
Kent 56.3280 3.3351
Kansas 55.8291 3.4089
Troy St 55.6953 1.4498
Ball St 54.8652 0.3919
C Michigan 53.9254 1.7163
E Michigan 53.6818 2.5538
Colorado St 52.4047 3.6113
Idaho 51.2187 2.1371
New Mexico St 50.5757 3.2332
Middle Tenn St 50.1854 2.5793
Buffalo 49.9778 4.1966
Tulane 49.4100 0.0327
UAB 49.3291 2.6823
UNLV 47.9621 8.3109
Florida Atl 46.1378 1.5294
Memphis 42.2716 2.2916
New Mexico 40.7620 3.1727
Akron 39.7085 2.7855
Ratings include games of 12/31/11.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |