The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2024 Season Ratings |
Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd 1. Ohio St 102.4299 2.5652 2. Notre Dame 98.0658 0.2820 3. Texas 96.0829 2.6024 4. Penn St 94.5410 2.2653 5. Mississippi 94.4884 0.6081 6. Oregon 93.6969 2.7632 7. Georgia 93.6946 0.2141 8. Alabama 92.6867 4.5098 9. Tennessee 91.7084 2.5605 10. Indiana 90.8684 3.0924 11. South Carolina 88.1168 0.2226 12. Miami Fl 85.8589 1.4814 13. USC 85.7186 3.7177 14. LSU 85.4355 3.4419 15. Michigan 85.3605 0.7553 16. Arizona St 85.1860 1.0013 17. Clemson 85.0574 -1.1249 18. Florida 84.5120 2.6895 19. Minnesota 84.1806 1.4977 20. BYU 84.0272 1.7357 21. Texas A&M 83.2664 2.9731 22. SMU 83.1708 3.5458 23. Iowa 83.1426 2.5067 24. Louisville 82.5888 5.5186 25. Iowa St 82.5692 5.4039 26. Kansas St 81.9791 2.7079 27. Baylor 81.3489 2.3996 28. TCU 80.9553 2.1830 29. Colorado 80.9518 5.3458 30. Illinois 80.7495 0.1342 31. Boise St 79.6401 1.7413 32. Arkansas 79.3095 -0.5221 33. Oklahoma 78.9730 4.1583 34. Tulane 78.9414 2.6624 35. Missouri 78.6899 4.8712 36. Vanderbilt 78.4939 -1.1304 37. Nebraska 78.3790 2.8817 38. Wisconsin 78.1534 0.7518 39. Kansas 78.1088 2.3695 40. Virginia Tech 77.9683 3.6881 41. Army 77.3458 1.2090 42. Texas Tech 77.2023 3.3072 43. Washington 77.0176 4.2596 44. Auburn 76.7917 1.4289 45. Kentucky 76.7746 2.2899 46. Cincinnati 76.7018 4.2309 47. Utah 76.3256 1.9511 48. Rutgers 76.2333 -0.5070 49. C Florida 76.1648 1.3297 50. UNLV 75.9147 0.6741 51. Georgia Tech 75.8773 0.4395 52. UCLA 75.4609 0.4420 53. Navy 75.4311 -0.4584 54. Marshall 75.1229 -1.5189 55. Syracuse 74.7498 2.1280 56. Pittsburgh 73.2950 1.1462 57. Duke 72.8801 1.4782 58. James Madison 72.3431 6.8127 59. Texas St 72.1177 3.2537 60. West Virginia 72.0990 2.0631 61. Memphis 72.0452 3.3392 62. Boston College 72.0330 2.5334 63. Maryland 71.8303 0.8786 64. Ohio 71.5711 3.5767 65. Mississippi St 71.1858 0.1680 66. North Carolina 71.1577 2.3921 67. California 70.6504 3.9660 68. Washington St 70.5825 2.3505 69. S Alabama 69.0309 2.0766 70. Michigan St 68.3921 0.9513 71. NC State 68.3821 3.2891 72. Virginia 67.7282 0.1909 73. Oklahoma St 67.3187 1.8222 74. Houston 67.1865 0.6911 75. UL Lafayette 66.9641 2.3345 76. Old Dominion 66.7471 1.2707 77. Bowling Green 66.1300 -0.7728 78. Miami Oh 66.1117 3.6749 79. Wake Forest 65.9876 0.9877 80. N Illinois 65.7891 -1.4364 81. Northwestern 65.7855 2.3291 82. Jacksonville St 65.2073 4.6729 83. Fresno St 65.0429 3.6681 84. Georgia So 64.5135 6.6433 85. Connecticut 64.5049 4.7122 86. Toledo 64.3802 1.8354 87. Florida St 64.3717 1.8791 88. Arizona 64.0579 3.3833 89. UTSA 63.8577 2.1024 90. San Jose St 63.7979 1.3772 91. North Texas 63.5148 2.9771 92. Stanford 63.4626 1.0500 93. Sam Houston St 63.1100 0.0111 94. East Carolina 63.0686 4.4196 95. C Carolina 62.5751 -3.5186 96. Troy 61.8342 0.9276 97. South Florida 61.6992 1.5440 98. Appalachian St 61.6649 2.9542 99. Oregon St 61.6504 3.6140 100. W Kentucky 61.0304 1.9322 101. Georgia St 60.9988 -3.7737 102. Colorado St 60.3486 3.3746 103. Utah St 59.4988 1.6368 104. Buffalo 59.3630 5.5227 105. Air Force 59.2709 3.8705 106. Liberty 58.5765 4.5384 107. W Michigan 58.2656 1.0134 108. Wyoming 57.9219 2.2037 109. Rice 57.5479 1.8579 110. Nevada 57.4884 2.7617 111. Arkansas St 57.3283 2.0342 112. Louisiana Tech 57.0358 2.9413 113. UL Monroe 56.5011 3.2602 114. Charlotte 56.3461 -1.3879 115. New Mexico 55.5917 2.4087 116. Purdue 55.5506 -0.1330 117. E Michigan 55.4896 -0.5718 118. Florida Intl 55.1643 4.3912 119. UAB 54.5896 4.4939 120. San Diego St 54.5195 0.0532 121. Florida Atl 54.4112 2.3896 122. Akron 54.2262 0.4912 123. Hawaii 54.1741 4.9661 124. Ball St 50.7016 1.9263 125. C Michigan 50.5364 2.0714 126. Temple 50.2159 4.2909 127. Massachusetts 48.3631 0.4586 128. Texas-El Paso 47.9897 2.3586 129. Tulsa 46.5839 -2.4941 130. Middle Tenn St 46.3870 3.0646 131. New Mexico St 44.3585 2.4884 132. Southern Miss 43.4524 -0.0800 133. Kennesaw St 41.6479 6.7311 134. Kent St 38.6557 1.4940 Ratings include games through 1/10/2025. |
Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |