The Dr. K. NCAA Football Forecasts2008 Week 13 |
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The following predictions are based completely on the Kambour football ratings . The numbers in parentheses represent the point-spread. The last 2 columns represent the estimated probabilities. The first number is the probability that the team picked to win actually wins. The second is the probability that the team picked to beat the spread beats the spread. The games are sorted by their probability of beating the point-spread. The game with the highest of these probabilities is the "best bet". Click for an in-depth statistical analysis of the US Presidential election. |
NC State 13
North Carolina (-11) 35 0.9303 0.7708
Washington (-7.5) 27
Washington St 10 0.8604 0.7218
Army (+17.5) 13
Rutgers 23 0.7615 0.7027
Michigan (+20.5) 13
Ohio St 26 0.8265 0.6985
Michigan St 13
Penn St (-14) 35 0.9281 0.6977
Boston College (+2.5) 21
Wake Forest 17 0.6186 0.6809
Stanford 21
California (-8.5) 37 0.8495 0.6787
Idaho 17
Hawaii (-23) 48 0.9708 0.6776
Boise St (-6) 37
Nevada 24 0.7940 0.6683
Marshall 27
Rice (-8) 42 0.8121 0.6548
Clemson 21
Virginia (+3) 23 0.5573 0.6390
East Carolina (-6) 31
UAB 20 0.7697 0.6334
Buffalo (+3.5) 28
Bowling Green 26 0.5486 0.6334
Duke (+17) 16
Virginia Tech 28 0.7940 0.6316
Texas Tech 34
Oklahoma (-6.5) 46 0.7624 0.6280
Illinois (-2.5) 31
Northwestern 23 0.6906 0.6270
West Virginia (-6.5) 31
Louisville 20 0.7744 0.6216
Tulane 17
Tulsa (-28) 50 0.9786 0.6213
North Texas 17
Middle Tenn St (-20) 42 0.9445 0.6179
N Illinois (-3.5) 31
Kent 23 0.7013 0.6143
Syracuse 12
Notre Dame (-19) 35 0.9397 0.5971
Mississippi (+5) 28
LSU 30 0.5380 0.5899
Texas-El Paso 30
Houston (-15) 49 0.8625 0.5886
E Michigan 14
Temple (-10.5) 28 0.8238 0.5773
Oregon St 28
Arizona (-2.5) 34 0.6388 0.5750
UL Monroe 21
Florida Intl (-6) 30 0.7191 0.5713
Indiana 20
Purdue (-12.5) 35 0.8395 0.5679
Iowa 20
Minnesota (+5.5) 17 0.5886 0.5663
BYU 21
Utah (-6) 30 0.7137 0.5652
UNLV (-12) 38
San Diego St 23 0.8195 0.5651
Fresno St 24
San Jose St (+2.5) 23 0.5014 0.5650
Ball St 33
C Michigan (+7) 28 0.6131 0.5592
Pittsburgh 21
Cincinnati (-4.5) 28 0.6731 0.5581
UL Lafayette 28
Troy St (-7.5) 38 0.7273 0.5567
Arkansas (+1) 24
Mississippi St 23 0.5238 0.5511
C Florida (+5) 24
Memphis 27 0.5846 0.5476
Connecticut (+3.5) 24
South Florida 26 0.5469 0.5465
Colorado St (-2) 24
Wyoming 20 0.6004 0.5462
Florida Atl 17
Arkansas St (-5) 24 0.6780 0.5459
Air Force 10
TCU (-18) 30 0.9214 0.5454
Iowa St 26
Kansas St (-10) 38 0.7695 0.5425
Florida St 23
Maryland (-1.5) 26 0.5786 0.5376
Miami Oh (+3) 24
Toledo 26 0.5454 0.5342
Akron (-2.5) 28
Ohio 24 0.5968 0.5319
Tennessee 16
Vanderbilt (-3) 20 0.6138 0.5265
Miami Fl (+3.5) 20
Georgia Tech 23 0.5807 0.5171
Louisiana Tech 27
New Mexico St (+7) 21 0.6664 0.5159
2008 Season Record:
Straight-up vs. Spread Best Bet
Last Week 36-14 0.720 24-25-1 0.490 0-1-0 0.000
Season* 438-141 0.756 285-285-9 0.500 7-5-0 0.583
*The records include results for week 4 (the week of Sept 20). The predictions from that
week were not posted on the internet due to effects from Hurrican Ike. The records from
that week were 35-10 SU, 27-18 ATS, and 1-0 BB.
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