The Dr. K. NCAA Football ForecastsWeek 11 |
The following predictions are based completely on the Kambour football ratings . The results are sorted by start time. The numbers in parentheses represent the point-spread. The over/under pick is in parentheses with a U or O. The next 3 columns represent the estimated probabilities. The first number is the probability that the team picked to win actually wins. The second is the probability that the team picked to beat the spread beats the spread. The third is the probability that we beat the over/under. Printer friendly links and links with games sorted by value according to spread and over/ under are listed at the bottom of the page. |
Bowling Green (-13.5) 35 C Michigan (O 48.5) 20 0.8101 0.5284 0.6139 Miami Oh (-12) 27 Ball St (U 48) 14 0.7955 0.5109 0.6551 Ohio (-18.5) 38 Kent St (O 52) 17 0.8831 0.5400 0.5921 N Illinois (-1.5) 30 W Michigan (U 52.5) 24 0.6422 0.6079 0.5128 Appalachian St (O 62.5) 33 C Carolina (-1.5) 35 0.5430 0.5104 0.5753 Florida Atl (+7.5) 21 East Carolina (U 57.5) 28 0.6686 0.5108 0.6831 California (-7.5) 34 Wake Forest (O 54.5) 23 0.7466 0.5875 0.5009 Rice (O 52.5) 20 Memphis (-9.5) 37 0.8329 0.6567 0.5884 Iowa (-6.5) 26 UCLA (U 44.5) 17 0.7128 0.5503 0.5886 ******************************************************************************* * Best Bet against the Over/Under * New Mexico (U 67.5) 24 * San Diego St (-3.5) 30 0.6411 0.5601 0.7780 ******************************************************************************* Navy (-3.5) 30 South Florida (U 57.5) 24 0.6385 0.5578 0.5869 West Virginia (U 56.5) 24 Cincinnati (-4.5) 29 0.6127 0.5072 0.5787 Minnesota (U 46.5) 23 Rutgers (+6.5) 17 0.6424 0.5297 0.6544 Purdue (O 53.5) 10 Ohio St (-37.5) 54 0.9947 0.6336 0.7058 Florida (+21.5) 17 Texas (O 48) 37 0.8787 0.5454 0.6567 Syracuse (+2.5) 25 Boston College (U 53.5) 26 0.5248 0.5361 0.5716 Texas St (-7.5) 31 UL Monroe (O 48.5) 23 0.6833 0.5120 0.6117 Miami Fl (-11.5) 37 Georgia Tech (U 63.5) 23 0.7794 0.5426 0.6015 Liberty (O 54) 31 Middle Tenn St (+10.5) 23 0.6826 0.5528 0.5405 Connecticut (U 56.5) 30 UAB (+6.5) 26 0.5986 0.5536 0.5446 Marshall (-13.5) 33 Southern Miss (U 55.5) 17 0.8367 0.5554 0.6498 Iowa St (-2.5) 30 Kansas (O 50.5) 24 0.6288 0.5700 0.5120 San Jose St (O 55.5) 24 Oregon St (-2.5) 33 0.7090 0.6565 0.5008 Army (U 63.5) 35 North Texas (+5.5) 30 0.6098 0.5120 0.5382 ******************************************************************************* * Best Bet against the Point Spread * Michigan (+14.5) 23 * Indiana (O 48.5) 28 0.6182 0.7216 0.5544 ******************************************************************************* Clemson (U 53.5) 27 Virginia Tech (+6.5) 24 0.5823 0.5745 0.5280 Georgia (U 55) 28 Mississippi (+2.5) 26 0.5453 0.5157 0.5926 Georgia St (O 53.5) 17 James Madison (-16.5) 38 0.8908 0.6029 0.5660 Duke (+3.5) 26 NC State (U 50.5) 24 0.5535 0.6375 0.5139 Kennesaw St (U 42.5) 20 Texas-El Paso (-3.5) 24 0.6005 0.5130 0.5268 Temple (O 49.5) 12 Tulane (-26.5) 44 0.9753 0.6266 0.6071 Colorado (U 62.5) 31 Texas Tech (+3.5) 32 0.5327 0.6102 0.5236 South Carolina (-3.5) 31 Vanderbilt (O 46.5) 20 0.7509 0.6787 0.6217 Jacksonville St (O 55.5) 34 Louisiana Tech (+9.5) 24 0.7048 0.5034 0.5191 Arkansas St (+16.5) 24 UL Lafayette (U 60.5) 38 0.7851 0.5583 0.5035 W Kentucky (O 51.5) 38 New Mexico St (+18.5) 20 0.8486 0.5227 0.5947 Maryland (+25.5) 17 Oregon (O 57.5) 43 0.9280 0.5026 0.5697 Mississippi St (U 61.5) 16 Tennessee (-23.5) 43 0.9392 0.5602 0.5971 C Florida (+2.5) 28 Arizona St (U 55.5) 27 0.5309 0.5898 0.5212 Oklahoma St (+11.5) 28 TCU (U 66.5) 37 0.6882 0.5577 0.5254 Florida St (+25.5) 13 Notre Dame (O 42.5) 35 0.9223 0.5978 0.5687 Alabama (O 58.5) 31 LSU (+2.5) 30 0.5332 0.5238 0.5298 Oklahoma (O 42.5) 24 Missouri (-1.5) 26 0.5506 0.5138 0.6762 Nevada (U 60.5) 16 Boise St (-24.5) 46 0.9548 0.6044 0.5015 Washington (O 45.5) 17 Penn St (-13.5) 31 0.8078 0.5009 0.5153 Virginia (U 57.5) 23 Pittsburgh (-7.5) 33 0.7134 0.5468 0.5712 UNLV (-13.5) 40 Hawaii (O 49.5) 21 0.8639 0.6224 0.6833 Fresno St (U 41.5) 24 Air Force (+10.5) 16 0.7089 0.5635 0.5418 BYU (U 41.5) 24 Utah (+4.5) 20 0.5978 0.5203 0.5044 Utah St (O 69.5) 23 Washington St (-20.5) 49 0.9130 0.6004 0.5016 2024 Record Straight-up vs. Spread Over/Under Last Week 27-21-0 0.563 20-28-0 0.417 24-24-0 0.500 Season 349-160-0 0.686 237-272-0 0.466 276-233-0 0.542 Best Bet (Spread) Best Bet (Over/Under) Last Week 1-0-0 1.000 0-1-0 0.000 Season 2-9-0 0.182 6-5-0 0.546
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